This formula was given by Benjamin Graham.
You might wonder who Benjamin Graham is. He's the man who taught Warren Buffet, the richest man in the world who earned a lot of his wealth from stock markets around the world.
The formula is: Value= EPS (8.5+2g), where
Value = Value of the stock in rupees (if you are investing in India)
EPS = Earnings Per share in rupees (if you are investing in India)
g = Growth rate in per cent
For instance, assume that a stock like TCS' value as of today is Rs 1,240 and its EPS is Rs 57.65. Now, these two figures can help us arrive at a growth rate in terms of percentage at which the company's profits need to grow to sustain a price of Rs 1,240.
Let us calculate 'g' for TCS by substituting the assumed values in Graham's formula.
1,240 = 57.65 * (8.5 + 2*g)
Therefore, 1,240/57.65 = 8.5 + 2*g
Therefore, 21.5 = 8.5 + 2*g
Therefore, 21.5 � 8.5 = 2*g
Therefore, 13 = 2*g
Therefore, g = 13/2
Therefore, g = 6.5.
Suppose that,Tata Steel needs to grow by a mere 0.2 per cent for next 7-10 years to sustain it's price.
Do you think a huge company like Tata Steel will grow only at a mere 0.2 per cent? Of course not. It is a promising company with a sound management that can propel the company to much higher growth rate than 0.2 per cent.
Normally, a company that is expected to clock higher growth rates than 'g' is considered as a good buy. But this should not be your only tool to identify a stock could increase in value in the future.
Tuesday, July 29, 2008
Basic formula for trading in stock market used by Warren Buffet
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